Original URL: http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/09/apple_itunes_2bn_songs/
Analysis It's nice to be right once in a while. Apple today announced it has sold more than 2bn songs through its online iTunes music store - just as Reg Hardware forecast almost a year ago (http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2006/02/23/apple_itunes_movies/).
To be fair, we said the two-billionth song would be sold "early 2007", so Apple's come in slightly ahead of our expectations. But it's close enough that we're happy with our back-of-an-envelope numbers, which we scribbled down not long after Apple launched iTunes outside the US.
Apple also said today it has sold 50m TV episodes and 1.3m movies, numbers that should give it some encouragement as it prepares to launch AppleTV, the renamed iTV iTunes-to-TV box it announced in September 2006.
But back to the music. At its current rate, ITMS should pass the 2.5bn mark in May this year and move past 3bn downloads by the end of the year - in September, we'd say.
All this is, of course, proof not only of the strength of the iPod but also that consumers really don't care too much about DRM and being tied to a single supplier as long as they can get the songs they want. The Plays For Sure vendors, with the claimed benefit of selling songs that will play on a variety of players, even collectively are almost certainly a long way behind ITMS.
Online music vendors' catalogues are all much the same, and the tight licensing terms extracted by the music labels appears to have prevented any price competition encouraging buyers to move from one source to another, a factor that might have helped the PFS firms and hindered Apple.
That Apple got it right and the rest - we might mention Microsoft, in particular - didn't is shown by the way hardware companies are now so clearly out to directly link their players to branded music stores. Microsoft's done it with Zune; Nokia too, by buying Loudeye. Samsung said last year it wants to set up a branded music store (http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2006/09/01/samsung_unveils_digital_download_plan/). Toshiba this week squeezed up even closer to MTV's Urge service. Zvue, which makes a low-cost media player sold through Wal-Mart, attributes its success not just to the sub-$100 price point but the tight link to its Zvue online content store.
All these companies are using Microsoft technology, of course, but the crucial thing is that they're not stressing interoperability rather establishing hardware and online store as two parts of the whole. In that respect, the technology that underpins them is irrelevant. ®
Real and MTV in joint bid to be crushed by iTunes (22 August 2007)
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/08/22/real_and_mtv_merge_music_services/
Apple presses pause on AppleTV roll-out (27 February 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/02/27/apple_delays_appletv/
Wal-Mart online service misfires, as iTunes readies video for Europe (8 February 2007)
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/02/08/walmart_online_service_misfires/
LG pulls TV-PDA-GPS combo gadget out of pocket (31 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/31/lg_unveils_n1_pda_tv_gps/
Dutch consumer chief puts Apple through the mill (25 January 2007)
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/01/25/dutch_out_of_tune_with_apple/
Apple DRM illegal in Norway: Ombudsman (24 January 2007)
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/01/24/apple_drm_illegal_in_norway/
France and Germany join anti-iTunes crusade (23 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/23/itunes_slagged_again/
New Zunes, Euro debut due next Xmas? (22 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/22/zune_launch_schedule/
Apple's alleged 802.11n enabler fee: blame Enron etc. (17 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/17/apple_80211n_wifi_fee_update/
Sundance shorts debut on iTunes (16 January 2007)
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/01/16/sundance_itunes/
AOL flogs MusicNow to Napster for $15m (13 January 2007)
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/01/13/aol_napster_deal/
Jobs triggers new appliance genre with Apple TV (11 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/11/apple_tv/
Computer takes a back seat at Apple (10 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/10/apple_computer/
SanDisk readies Wi-Fi music, widescreen video players (8 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/08/sandisk_updates_mp3_line-up/
Samsung preps ultra-slim music player (8 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/08/sams_k3_music_player/
Netgear brings media player into HD era (7 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/07/netgear_eva8000/
MP3 player maker sues Apple, demands $100m (5 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/05/apple_vs_luxpro/
Apple faces US iTunes lawsuit (3 January 2007)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2007/01/03/apple_itunes_lawsuit/
Forrester can't stand up for falling down over iTunes (13 December 2006)
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/12/13/itunes_sales_forrester_replies/
Motorola unveils iTunes-less ROKR (5 December 2006)
http://www.reghardware.co.uk/2006/12/05/motorola_unveils_rokr_e6/